Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000611 0.000698 0.000790 0.000895 0.001010 0.001133 0.001275
2025-08-10 0.000483 0.000605 0.000743 0.000910 0.001106 0.001327 0.001594
2025-08-17 0.000407 0.000542 0.000704 0.000908 0.001158 0.001449 0.001812
2025-08-24 0.000337 0.000478 0.000652 0.000881 0.001170 0.001519 0.001967
2025-08-31 0.000284 0.000425 0.000608 0.000856 0.001179 0.001579 0.002105
2025-09-07 0.000250 0.000392 0.000584 0.000853 0.001212 0.001667 0.002278
2025-09-14 0.000222 0.000365 0.000565 0.000852 0.001246 0.001755 0.002451
2025-09-21 0.000195 0.000337 0.000540 0.000842 0.001265 0.001823 0.002598
2025-09-28 0.000170 0.000309 0.000514 0.000826 0.001274 0.001875 0.002724
2025-10-05 0.000159 0.000300 0.000515 0.000848 0.001335 0.001999 0.002948
2025-10-12 0.000148 0.000290 0.000512 0.000864 0.001388 0.002112 0.003160
2025-10-19 0.000132 0.000271 0.000494 0.000856 0.001404 0.002174 0.003304
2025-10-26 0.000117 0.000250 0.000472 0.000842 0.001412 0.002225 0.003433
2025-11-02 0.000107 0.000240 0.000467 0.000851 0.001455 0.002327 0.003636
2025-11-09 0.000098 0.000228 0.000456 0.000851 0.001482 0.002406 0.003810
2025-11-16 0.000084 0.000207 0.000429 0.000825 0.001468 0.002424 0.003894
2025-11-23 0.000073 0.000189 0.000406 0.000801 0.001456 0.002443 0.003980
2025-11-30 0.000066 0.000179 0.000395 0.000798 0.001476 0.002512 0.004139
2025-12-07 0.000060 0.000170 0.000386 0.000798 0.001500 0.002585 0.004306
2025-12-14 0.000054 0.000159 0.000373 0.000788 0.001508 0.002634 0.004437
2025-12-21 0.000047 0.000147 0.000357 0.000773 0.001506 0.002667 0.004545
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000145 0.000361 0.000794 0.001565 0.002796 0.004801
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000142 0.000362 0.000809 0.001615 0.002912 0.005038